marist

It might be too early to talk about this but there is a possibility that Marist does not win a game this year.

Yes Marist tied their 2nd worst start in school history by starting out 0-7. With game probabilities posted today on Kenpom.com, the Red Foxes are a 10% or less underdog in 14 of their 21 remaining games, not counting the “BracketBuster.” So I set out to do some research in contacting friend of the site, Ken Pomeroy.

Ryan (Siena Saints Blog): You have [Marist] as underdogs in every game except this Sunday against Binghamton. I was wondering if you could run the numbers to see the chances they could go winless in 2009-10.

I know there might be a few factors that might change (ie: two players come back for Marist after being suspended/leave on Sunday plus Binghamton is bad)

Unbelievably, the Marist record for worst start is 0-12, so at least they can look up. Thank you!

I received a quick response from the friend of the site:

Ken Pomeroy (Kenpom.com): Just for the Marist faithful, I’ve added the chance of going winless for all teams. Looks like Marist leads the nation with their nearly 3% chance! Seems like yesterday they were owning the league.

You can find it on the Marist team page. I love these stats by the way and thank goodness for automation. Yes, we’re not able to run some probabilities on games like tournament games that play on back to back games, but we get a lot of good data out of this. Marist only has two unlisted games on this schedule: the BracketBuster game and their first MAAC Tournament game. Even with those two the odds can’t get much better.

Marist does not look like a good offensive team at all right now but they get Villanova transfer Casiem Drummond and all-Rookie team member RJ Hall back after his academic suspension for Sunday’s game against Binghamton.

This will probably be their best chance to win before entering conference play. Boston College transfer Daye Kaba has disappointed so far and Marist has put up a bunch of statistical oddities. Only one player (Kaba) has more assists than turnovers (by a margin of 1) and the team has shot 53.9% from the Free throw line (344th in the nation, of 347).

There are currently 9 winless teams in all of Division I.